Tips by Brad Grey
Brad Grey’s tips and insights for Royal Randwick on Saturday. There are winners to be discovered for 9 races!
We get one other take a look at the G.O.A.T in Winx as she strains up within the $500,000 Group One Colgate Optic White Stakes (1600m). The Randwick card additionally options the G2 Shorts (1100m) the place Everest contenders Redzel, Invincible Star, English and Courageous Smash will conflict.
The rail is within the True, the monitor is predicted to race within the Good vary and the primary set to leap at 12:10pm.
|Race 1 – 12:10PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
They’ll hum alongside on this 1000m Freeway Handicap. 2. Rhyming Puppet ought to be capable of tuck in behind this velocity first up since April and be introduced together with his alternative. The five-year-old has gained three on the bounce, all on his residence monitor Canberra, however deserves his shot at this degree now. The newest win was over 1200m so in contrast to a couple of of those that will probably be strolling to the road, he’ll have one thing extra to provide. No official trials however Nick Olive wouldn’t be coming to city if the horse wasn’t tuned up. It’s a fair race however he’s the one nonetheless with upside and maps completely.
Hazard: 1.Equal Stability will probably be charging residence. It’s simply whether or not they’ll run him off his ft over 1000m and the fowl may have flown by the point he hits prime gear. The four-year-old was excellent final begin behind Widespread Function with Punters Intel revealing an 11.50s ultimate 200m, which was among the many better of the day. You will need to respect four.Lifesaver, if not simply for the very fact he’s educated by Matt Dunn who locations his Freeway horses so nicely. Unsure the place he lobs from the extensive draw although with a lot velocity beneath him. Can’t see him getting in. 10. Sei Stella is one other lightly-raced Canberra galloper resuming right here and has upside.
Easy methods to play it: Rhyming Puppet WIN ($7.50 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race 2 – 12:50PM SCHWEPPES HERITAGE STAKES (1100 METRES)|
1. Santos maps to path what seems to be to be a very popular velocity on paper. That is our first sighter of him as a three-year-old however his two trials recommend he has come again nicely. It’s not going to be straightforward lumping 59kg however the race seems to arrange completely. Hugh Bowman steers and from barrier 1 will have the ability to sum issues up within the first couple of hundred metres. I’ve acquired him simply tucked in behind on the fence. His first up win within the Pierro Plate over the Randwick 1100m (which is what he tackles right here) was distinctive. He then fell in at brief odds to win the Skyline earlier than flopping within the Golden Slipper, however loads of star three-year-olds have completed that. The drier the monitor the higher for him. Blinkers go on for the primary time (he didn’t put on them within the trials). Profiles to make a profitable return.
Hazard: three. Neutrality is straightforward to seek out off a really robust displaying within the San Domencio Stakes first up behind present Golden Rose favorite Graff. The occasions backed every little thing up too. Punters Intel reveals the San Domenico was run 6.5L quicker than the opposite 1100m race gained by Za Zi Ba, and a whopping 9.5L the final 600m. This Sebring colt continues to be a piece in progress, with the tendency to overdo issues. He’s quick, there isn’t any denying that however the final 100m goes to be the fear. Particularly with the likes of four. Cost and 6. Omar eager to eye-ball him.
Easy methods to play it: Santos WIN ($three.70 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race three – 1:25PM SHOOT OUT MILE (1600 METRES)|
The shape information for 7. Immediate De Reve reads a duck egg final begin however he by no means received a crack at his rivals. He was properly supported too ($9-$6), beginning exhausting out there. From what we’ve seen of him in his two Australian begins thus far, he’s a keen-going horse. He has thrown his head round on each events taking a sit. Drawn 11 right here and with little or no velocity within the race, outdoors of three. Goodfella Tommy Berry may need his hand pressured. Chris Waller has indicated a choice of educating the horse to settle in behind horses however I can’t see that taking place on this. If he leads, rolls alongside and finds his rhythm there’s a great probability they gained’t catch him. Don’t let him get underneath your guard.
Hazard: 5. One other Greenback did sufficient first up behind Greatest Of Days over 1400m. She appears to be the forgotten four-year-old of Chris Waller’s group. She went inside a whisker of profitable the Queensland Oaks with stablemate Youngstar prevailing in a decent end. The mile continues to be in all probability a contact on the brief aspect, and she’ll come into her personal third up 2000m, however this race units up nicely for her. Kerrin McEvoy will stalk the leaders from barrier 1. Goodfella is trustworthy and though you’ll by no means see him placing a subject to the sword, in the event that they present him the lead right here, like they did final begin when he gained, he’ll be within the cash. four. Muraaqeb subsequent greatest however drawn awkwardly.
The way to play it: Immediate De Reve WIN ($19 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race four – 2:00PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE SHORTS (1100 METRES)|
1. Redzel is all the things you need in a horse. He’s robust, absorbs strain, makes his personal luck and maybe most admirably, is so extremely constant. He returned in dominant style taking out the Concorde Stakes first up, as he begins the trek to his Everest defence. The margin might solely learn a size however at no stage within the race did he appear to be he was going to be crushed. From the 800-200m Punters Intel reveals Redzel ran 31.66s. He makes it look all too straightforward too. Kerrin McEvoy was nonetheless swinging off half approach down the straight. He’ll tighten up once more from that after parading with loads of improvemtn. His final 200m was 1.5L superior to that of 9. Invincible Star who was no match for Redzel late and appears up towards it turning the tables.
Hazard: That stated, I’m not able to utterly surrender on Invincible Star. Upon reflection, James McDonald maybe rode her too conservatively. Her asset is her velocity. In his defence, she was first up and has an Everest to overcome herself down the monitor. With the run underneath the belt although, co-trainer Adrian Bott has recommended they’ll take the hand break off right here and let her stride. She began favorite too, keep in mind. 5. Ball Of Muscle has run second in three straight editions of The Shorts (behind Insurgent Dane, Takedown and Redzel). He was excellent at Caulfield first up holding off Voodoo Lad and 2. Courageous Smash. four. English’s profitable possibilities took a blow with the barrier draw.
Find out how to play it: Redzel WIN ($1.80 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race 5 – 2:35PM BILL RITCHIE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
5. Invictus Prince ran second to Winx final begin. That’s proper, second to Winx. Behind him in third and fourth have been D’argento and Kementari. Again in sixth was Unforgotten. He began $151 and stunned everyone besides coach Matt Smith. He has all the time believed the import was a prime liner. Positive, we’ve obtained to see the six-year-old do it once more to show he’s the actual deal however on the odds on supply, I’m pleased to gamble that he’s. Previous to his Winx Stakes effort he ran fourth to Philosophy in a BM84 earlier than operating 12th in a BM82. Maybe it took him a number of runs to settle into Australian life. His trials earlier than his debut have been excellent. In a great world, he in all probability tackles the mile now. Alas, he stays at 1400m however has had a 4 week hole between runs, which noticed Smith ship him to Wyong for a tickover trial. A win on this books him a spot within the Epsom.
Hazard: 2. Pierata had a minor setback which noticed him scratched from the Tramway Stakes. Coach Greg Hickman has since reported that the four-year-old hasn’t missed any work however it’s prompted a re-think of Pierata’s spring. It’s by no means preferrred. I’d anticipate him to ease from the $three.10. To not say he can’t win, however he can achieve this with out me at these odds. The velocity right here seems okay, even with out Movement, which can give 12. Paret his probability. He’s fifth up again to 1400m and racing nicely out of his grade however he’s a horse nonetheless on the up and possesses a booming end. eight. Siege Of Quebec went terrible final week however the moist monitor was blamed. Can he bounce again simply seven days later? Thought four. Tom Melbourne was going to Newcastle however right here he’s! He’ll end prime three.
The best way to play it: Invictus Prince WIN ($7.50 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race 6 – three:10PM COLGATE OPTIC WHITE STAKES (1600 METRES)|
There’s nothing left to be stated. Too robust, too quick, too good. All eyes shall be on 6. Winx with the champion mare priced $1.10 to maintain her profitable sequence intact. On what we noticed of her first up within the Winx Stakes, there isn’t a proof of any chinks in her armour as a seven-year-old. Regardless of the monitor, distance, circumstances or barrier, she overcomes the whole lot thrown her method. This shall be 20 Group Ones and 27 straight victories.
WINX OUT: Chris Waller will probably be hoping eight. Unforgotten can fill the Winx void for the secure as soon as her racing days are over. In fact, Winx is irreplaceable however Unforgotten is a budding star in her personal proper. She has seamlessly made the transition from a filly to racing at weight for age as a four-year-old. Final begin she pointlessly beat her Chelmsford rivals. 1. Le Romain is the early favorite within the Winx Out market however anticipated a contact extra from him within the Tramway Stakes final begin after profitable so nicely first up. He can definitely bounce again, and perhaps that first up win took a bit out of him however I’m firmly with Unforgotten.
Easy methods to play it: Unforgotten WINX OUT ($2.90 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race 7 – three:50PM DARLEY TEA ROSE STAKES (1400 METRES)|
9. Madam Rouge is a really stylish filly. She solely gained a midweek BM71 first up nevertheless it was the way through which she did it, stamped her high quality. She sat large the journey, crept into the race and nonetheless discovered on the end. James McDonald had a lot confidence on this filly to tug that off. Actually, the ring opted to journey her over Outback Barbie, who he rode within the Silver Shadow and the Livid. There’s something definitely about this daughter of Zoustar. The day she gained at Warwick Farm final preparation she ran quicker time than Lean Imply Machine who gained on the identical day over 1000m. She has acquired pure velocity too if referred to as upon and with a scarcity of tempo right here, ideally she settles outdoors of 12. Symi and will get her probability to regulate the race from the entrance. It’ll take a superb one to run her down from there.
Hazard: Sires Produce winner 1. El Dorado Dreaming, now educated by Kris Lees (ex Ben Smith), actually caught my eye in her most up-to-date barrier trial. Liked her response when the jockey gave her slightly niggle to set after International Glamour. She appears to be buzzing. 5. Fairly In Pink measured proper up within the Livid Stakes final begin, with Punters Intel revealing she gained one in every of 5 runners to interrupt 11s for the final 200m cut up. The trick with that race is making an attempt to separate the pure sprinters from these wanting for additional. 7. Futooh has snuck underneath the radar right here after an excellent return within the Silver Shadow. She’s one determined for the 1400m and mile of the Flight Stakes.
Easy methods to play it: Madam Rouge WIN ($10 TAB Fastened Odds) and El Dorado Dreaming WIN ($eight)
|Race eight – four:30PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE KINGSTON TOWN STAKES (2000 METRES)|
Tried to chop this race up a couple of alternative ways however stored coming again to the apparent – 5. Avilius. He possesses a flip of foot few sprinters can be unable to match, not to mention center distance horses. He seemed in all types of hassle within the Premiers Cup, strung up half means down the straight however 100m later when he lastly noticed clear air, he had the race shot to bits. Punters Intel reveals the Gofolphin import ran his 400-200m in 11.15s, and that was regardless of not being clear till the 300m mark. Glyn Schofield stated the five-year-old emptied out over the concluding levels of the race too. He’ll be cherry ripe now third up and three weeks between runs is ideal. This is a vital race for him as he prepares for a shot at The Metrop. Satisfied he’s a Group One winner in ready.
Hazard: 15. I Am Critical needs to be within the combine off her effort behind Avilius final begin when sharply up in journey. She will get weight off him and might be nicely in entrance of him within the run. eight. Sedanzer was excellent first up within the Chelmsford Stakes. She was solely off a seven week freshen from a Queensland marketing campaign however has by no means actually fired a shot first up up to now. Second up that’s a totally totally different story. She is 4 from 4. The mare, additionally Metrop sure, has drawn very broad however Tim Clark ought to have the ability to slide throughout with three. Basic Uniform. four. Libran has by no means been higher on the again of two nice runs. The question is whether or not he throws in a flat one now third up. 11. Patrick Erin is simply second up right here, having missed the Chelmsford, however liked his recent run.
The way to play it: Avilius WIN ($2.40 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race 9 – 5:10PM E GROUP SECURITY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Could make a robust case for 9.Manhattan Mist at double determine odds. The final time we noticed him he beat three. Marsupial as Gosford, giving him zero.5kg and beginning equal $2.70 favourites. They conflict right here with Manhattan Mist assembly him 6kg higher, is double his worth in early markets and has drawn lots kinder. It’s a head scratcher however let’s take benefit. The Kim Waugh-trained five-year-old has by no means completed worse than second in seven profession begins and deserves his shot on the town now. Previous to Gosford he ran a courageous second to Simply Dreaming within the Provincial Championships qualifier, regardless of overlaying a stack of floor. Simply Dreaming is not any slouch. Have mapped Manhattan Mist to be within the first 4, whether or not that’s outdoors of the chief or simply tucked in behind, he’ll get his probability.
Hazard: Nonetheless not satisfied 2. Trekking will get a robust 1200m. All three of his wins have come over 1100m and assume he’s rather more dynamic over the shorter journey. That’s to not say his class gained’t get him over the road right here although. Punters Intel reveals that final begin behind Don’t Give A Rattling he ran a really sharp 400-200m cut up earlier than peaking on his run. Marsupial was superbly positioned final marketing campaign, with the gelding working definitely enjoying a task in his consistency. Sticky draw however he’ll be motoring residence. Techniques can be telling on eight. Dissolution from the broad draw however he’s ok to provide this a shake at odds if he will get the early breaks.
The right way to play it: Manhattan Mist EACH WAY ($11 TAB Fastened Odds)
Take a look at all of the fields, type and replays for Royal Randwick on Saturday.
Shayne Heffernan Funds Supervisor at HEFFX holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of buying and selling expertise in Asia and arms on expertise in Enterprise Capital, he has been concerned in a number of begin ups which have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that attain a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen begin ups in Mining, Delivery, Know-how and Monetary Providers.